Climate Change Effects on Wheat Production

Climate change is an emerging issue of agricultural production and geographical location of Pakistan makes it vulnerable to climate change.

Climate change is basically due to the increase in the concentration of greenhouse gases (GHGs) like carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide through anthropogenic activities. These gases trap the sunlight and increase the earth’s overall temperature.

This higher temperature may negatively affect the growth process of wheat and hence decreases the productivity of wheat. We must

 look at the impact of climate change on wheatproduction which is the main food crop of Pakistan.

The Vector Auto Regression (VAR) model is used in a study to evaluate the impact of global climate change on the production of wheat in Pakistan. On the basis of this historical data the study captures trends for the impact of climate change on wheat production for the period 2010-2060. The results of estimation reveal that global climate change may influence the wheat production in Pakistan. Therefore, appropriate adaptative and mitigative techniques as well as measures like timely cultivation, better irrigation system, new technology and utilization of drought resistant seeds are recommended to cope with or at least to reduce this newly emerging hazard of global climate change on wheat production in Pakistan.